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How big is the integrated housing market?

Integrated houses are also called prefabricated buildings. They are built by industrialized production methods, and some or all components of the building are prefabricated in factories, and then transported to the construction site to connect the components through reliable connections. Assembled houses. In Europe, America and Japan, it is called industrialized housing or industrialized housing.

China's integrated housing can be traced back to the 1980s, when China imported integrated housing from Japan and built hundreds of low-rise light steel structure villas; The company entered the domestic market and built several multi-storey light steel structure integrated residences in Beijing, Shanghai and other places. The real large-scale development of integrated construction business has only gradually developed in recent years. At present, a preliminary system has been formed in China in research and development, design and manufacture, construction and installation.

What is the potential size of the market?

1. Private housing market

According to estimates, the number of new urban villas and rural single-family houses is forecast to be around 300,000 units each year, corresponding to the penetration of short-term integrated housing At this rate, the demand for low-rise integrated housing in this segment will be around 26,000 units by 2020. In the medium and long term in the future, the annual demand for low-rise integrated housing will be around 350,000 units.

2. Tourism and vacation market

Since the domestic tourism industry is still in the investment stage, this direction is only a short-term market growth momentum. It is estimated that by 2020, the investment in construction will be about 130 billion yuan. According to estimates, it will bring a market value of about 11 billion yuan to low-rise integrated housing. Among them, hotel investment, in view of the overall slowdown of the domestic hotel industry, is expected to bring about 680,000 square meters of market demand by 2020.

3. Pension market

According to the plan of the Ministry of Civil Affairs, by 2020, there will be a gap of 2.898 million beds in my country. 15%, the pension real estate will bring a corresponding new construction demand of 2.7 million square meters.

In general, based on the above calculations, in the short-term stage of the next 3-5 years, the market size of low-rise structure buildings will be around 10 billion, and in the long-term stage of 15-20 years, it will become a market of 100 billion.

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